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Top NFL football knockout, survivor pool picks, advice, strategy for Week 6, 2024: Avoid this heavy favorite

Coming off back-to-back last-second wins and a mini-bye, the Atlanta Falcons are on many radars as one of the potential Week 6 NFL survivor pool picks. However, Carolina is playing better with Andy Dalton under center, and your Week 6 NFL survivor strategy could be affected by knowing the home team Panthers (+6) have beaten the Falcons the last two times in Carolina. Other options could be contemplated if you want your Week 6 NFL knockout pool picks to make it to a Week 7. The Packers (-5) hosting the Cardinals could be promising, as is Houston (-6.5) visiting New England. With undefeated teams like the Chiefs and Vikings on byes, having NFL survivor advice could be critical. Before finalizing any Week 6 NFL survivor picks, see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 6 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 10-2 hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year. Longer term, it is on a 191-131 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 45-23 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model can be used to crush the Survivor Pool format, which calls for picking one team to win each week but never using the same team twice.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 6 NFL odds and locked in its Week 6 survivor pool pick. You can only see who the model is backing this week at SportsLine.

Top Week 6 NFL survivor pool predictions

In Week 6 of the 2024 NFL season, the model is shying away from the Eagles (-9.5, 42.5) versus the Browns, even though Philadelphia is the biggest favorite of the week. The Browns won the last meeting between these teams and own a 32-17-1 (65% win pct) all-time record against Philly. That is the Eagles’ second-worst record versus any opponent in NFL history (min. 25 games). While Cleveland has struggled this year, HC Kevin Stefanski left open the possibility that OC Ken Dorsey could take over play-calling duties, which could kickstart the Browns’ offense.

The team is already elite where it matters the most, in the redzone, as Cleveland has the league’s second-best redzone offense. The Browns are in the top 15 in yards per carry, even without Nick Chubb, so any improvement with their passing game from a play-caller change would make them much more formidable. That’s especially the case against the Eagles’ defense, which is in the bottom-10 in passing yards and passing TDs allowed, and only one other team allows more than the 6.0 yards per play that Philadelphia gives up. The Eagles’ warts and lack of consistency dating back to last season make them too risky a play for Week 6 NFL knockout picks. See which team to pick instead here.

How to make Week 6 NFL survivor pool picks

Instead, the model is backing a surprising team that wins outright in well over 60% of simulations. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the play over at SportsLine.

Which surprising team is a must-back in your Week 6 NFL survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team carries you to victory in Week 6, all from the advanced computer model that is up well over $7,000 since its inception.

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