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Research links El Niño to Atlantic weather a year later, could enhance long-range weather forecasting

New research has revealed that the impact of one of the world's most influential global climate patterns is much more far-reaching than originally thought.

Scientists at the U.K.'s Meteorological Office have discovered that away from the tropics, the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has an additional impact on Atlantic weather patterns a full year on from the original event. Research shows this one year lagged extratropical response to ENSO is as strong as the simultaneous response, but with an opposite impact.

The paper is published in the journal Science.

For example, it has now been shown that El Niño, which can increase the chance of colder winters in the UK, can result in a milder winter period the following year.

While ENSO is just one of many drivers that influence the UK weather, it can be important, particularly in the winter months.

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