The US presidential race slated for November is very much on investors’ minds.
Investors are scrambling to shift their positioning following the closely-watched debate between US Republican Donald Trump and Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris, as betting markets swung in Harris’s favour after the event.
In a combative debate late Tuesday, Trump and Harris clashed over everything from the economy to immigration, as each sought a campaign-altering moment in what has been a closely-fought race.
Their exchanges left investors with few new details on United States issues that could sway markets, including tariffs, taxes and regulation. But online prediction markets showed bets on a stronger likelihood of a Harris win in November: Harris’s odds in PredictIt’s 2024 presidential general election market improved to 55 cents from 53 cents before the debate, while Trump’s odds slipped from 52 cents to 47 cents.