“Subsidy is gone”, President Tinubu echoed on May 29th, 2023. The highlight of his
inauguration speech stated that subsidy on petrol was gone, and Nigerians would
begin to buy petrol at a higher price which would be determined by the forces
of demand and supply.
Due to the
effects of subsidy removal and the immediate floating (devaluation) of the
naira, the price of goods and services hit the roof and the purchasing power of
Nigerians was eroded and birthed high inflation through cost-push inflation
which results from the general increase in the factors of production and
transportation.
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The necessary
inputs required to produce goods and services went up and led to an increase in
consumer prices, thereby eroding the purchasing power of Nigerians.
The
devaluation of the naira led to a loss in the purchasing power of Nigerians. As
the value of the naira reduces, imported goods become more expensive and out of
the reach of Nigerians. The floating of the naira and its volatility causes uncertainty
for business owners and investors, it makes it difficult for planning and
budget.
The effects
of high inflation led to high MPR and high cost of capital. The Central Bank ofNigeria raised its monetary policy rate (MPR) to 26.25% during its 295th
meeting of the monetary policy committee. With MPR at over 26%, companies will
access loans at over 32% because banks will make up the MPR for interest and
risk on loans.
It would be
difficult for companies to borrow or scale at such high interest rate. According
to Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN), over 800 companies have closed in
the past 1 year.
Loans are a
major economic booster and a critical part of our macro-economic cycle. Without
loans, money lies dormant in the bank without use and industries collapse. The
collapse of industries leads to high unemployment rate, crime and low source of
revenue to the government.
Excessive taxation
could lead to the closure of companies in this unfavorable business environment.
Government must pay top priority to the existence and survival of companies. There
must be a deliberate policy action to ensure that companies are protected from
over taxation and multiple taxation.
During the
administration of Donald Trump in 2017, the federal corporate tax in the USA was
reduced from 35% to 21% to help business stay afloat.
Nigerian government
must give incentives and tax holidays to businesses and make them profitable
and competitive. When companies are taxed out of existence, the multiplier effect
will be high unemployment, crime and low revenue to government.
With interest
rate at over 35%, zero subsidy on petrol and diesel, high electricity tariff, unstable
and a volatile naira, porous borders and low purchasing power of Nigerians, it
would be difficult for companies to stay afloat and scale in this harsh
business environment.
The government
must re-prioritize its policies and take urgent steps to fixing our railways
and refineries to reduce cost of transporting raw materials and food items from
one part of the country to another.
The government
must take urgent steps in fixing the poor power situation and increase
investment in agriculture to improve productivity.