Africa contributes only about 4% of the world's greenhouse gas emissions. The continent consumes the least energy for each person, compared with other regions of the world. With over 560 million people who don't have access to electricity, Africa has the lowest rate of energy access in the world.

The continent also has the most rapid population growth and urbanization rates globally. This means that Africa's greenhouse gas emissions could dramatically increase due to rapid economic growth, urbanization, industrialization and population growth.

Our research set out to analyze how Africa's growth could potentially affect efforts to reduce global warming or mitigate climate change. We did this by modeling various scenarios.

We found that the impact of Africa's growth on global carbon targets is likely to be low, especially in the short term. We also found that international institutions based outside Africa could influence the continent's energy transition, and greenhouse gas emissions, by supporting green investments.

We argue that Africa's economies are innovative. The continent has a wealth of natural resources. If investments are made in sustainable development which lead to a "Green New Deal" for Africa, the continent could become a clean and equitable leader at home and for the global community.

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